Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.026501 0.028556 0.030621 0.032850 0.035183 0.037552 0.040135
2025-12-07 0.022128 0.025301 0.028611 0.032309 0.036311 0.040499 0.045199
2025-12-14 0.019207 0.022980 0.027028 0.031665 0.036802 0.042292 0.048575
2025-12-21 0.016904 0.021057 0.025622 0.030966 0.037002 0.043564 0.051193
2025-12-28 0.015874 0.020438 0.025557 0.031652 0.038642 0.046342 0.055400
2026-01-04 0.014667 0.019507 0.025040 0.031738 0.039529 0.048216 0.058546
2026-01-11 0.013524 0.018564 0.024434 0.031649 0.040154 0.049745 0.061262
2026-01-18 0.012924 0.018226 0.024500 0.032311 0.041621 0.052214 0.065036
2026-01-25 0.012005 0.017436 0.023972 0.032221 0.042166 0.053591 0.067532
2026-02-01 0.011200 0.016738 0.023514 0.032178 0.042734 0.054970 0.070012
2026-02-08 0.010439 0.016053 0.023033 0.032071 0.043199 0.056205 0.072309
2026-02-15 0.009708 0.015365 0.022514 0.031886 0.043543 0.057277 0.074398
2026-02-22 0.009001 0.014711 0.022055 0.031816 0.044087 0.058671 0.076981
2026-03-01 0.008138 0.013805 0.021246 0.031288 0.044065 0.059395 0.078794
2026-03-08 0.007315 0.012901 0.020391 0.030657 0.043878 0.059890 0.080308
2026-03-15 0.006546 0.012023 0.019526 0.029973 0.043588 0.060230 0.081611
2026-03-22 0.006317 0.011917 0.019700 0.030645 0.045018 0.062691 0.085503
2026-03-29 0.005908 0.011516 0.019444 0.030728 0.045682 0.064195 0.088222
2026-04-05 0.005475 0.011050 0.019076 0.030641 0.046111 0.065395 0.090563
2026-04-12 0.005299 0.010974 0.019253 0.031290 0.047497 0.067800 0.094403
2026-04-19 0.004918 0.010546 0.018904 0.031201 0.047904 0.068964 0.096698
2026-04-26 0.004576 0.010161 0.018599 0.031159 0.048360 0.070183 0.099060
2026-05-03 0.004243 0.009766 0.018261 0.031055 0.048723 0.071276 0.101262